UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF FOOD-CHAIN MODELS

analysis of ruin probability for insurance companies using markov chain

در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...

An Analysis on The Lotka-Volterra Food Chain Model: Stability

The food chain refers to a natural system by which energy is transmitted from one organism to another. In fact, a food chain consists of producers, consumers and decomposition. Presence of complex food web increase the stability of the ecosystem. Classical food chain theory arises from Lotka-Volterra model. In the present paper, the dynamics behavior of three level food chain is studied. A syst...

Uncertainty Models for Robustness Analysis

Optimization Models for Biorefinery Supply Chain Network Design under Uncertainty

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii CHAPTER 1. GENERAL INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.

Innovative supply chain optimization models with multiple uncertainty factors

Uncertainty is an inherent factor throughout the whole supply chain (SC) channel within production, distribution, transportation, and market sales. In traditional manufacturing processes, stochastic capacity, random yield, and uncertain transportation delay are regarded as the main causes of supply uncertainty. Market fluctuations, brought on by ever-changing customer preferences and competitiv...